Saturday, September 03, 2005
On this day:

Tropical Strom Maria

Tropical Storm Maria

(formerly Tropical Depression 14) continues to strengthen well to the east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands as thunderstorms flare near the center of the circulation. This is the earliest formation for the 13th storm in any season since 1851. It is expected to strengthen into a hurricane by Sunday. Maria's future track is forecast to change from west-northwest to north-northwest, taking the tropical storm well east of Bermuda, and at this point not forecast to affect the U.S.

Another area of low pressure with pulsing thunderstorms around it continues to spin westward over the central Atlantic Ocean. This system has some potential for organization but recently thunderstorm activity has diminished. Any development at this point will be slow to occur as the tropical low scampers to the west.

A broad area of low pressure extends from the Gulf of Mexico into the Bahamas and is a focusing mechanism for thunderstorm development. There are several clusters of thunderstorms along this weak boundary that could develop tropical characteristics if they persist. Just off the Texas Gulf Coast a cluster of thunderstorms has developed at the end of this boundary and could produce locally heavy rain from Houston to Brownsville. Although tropical cyclones can develop in any month, the climatological peak for tropical cyclone development is September 10 in the Atlantic Ocean Basin.

In the western Pacific, Typhoon Nabi has weakened below super typhoon status and now has top winds of 120 mph. This typhoon may strengthen to 135 mph again as it moves through the islands of southern Japan near Naha over the next day and a half. As Nabi moves into the Sea of Japan between Kyushu, Japan and South Korea in about two and a half days, it is forecast to steadily weaken. All residents and business travelers/tourists visiting the region will need to monitor this very dangerous storm the next several days.

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